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  • zyakaira 2:18 pm on June 26, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , ,   

    Adani Power 6000MW / IPO August '09 

    Adani Power is  part of the $4.5 billion Adani Group setting up Thermal Power Plants such as the one at Tiroda and Mundra. They plan to put into place Power Capacity of 6000 MW by 2012 for which they have tied loans worth Rs. 23000 Crores Thus they have a planned issue in the next 6 weeks which would bring in the rest of the equity for the new Power projects. They are currently going live with a Transmission project in ?Tiroda? They seem to be in the right locations in Tiroda and Mundra which has no problems with the pricing or the supply agreements. They are also in contract for the assured ROI of 16% for Power projects. Competitors like GMR Infra are not in the race for resources despite having more than 9 Power projects on their roster as of 2007 itself. (GMR was working with ROI contracts of 12%)

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  • zyakaira 10:40 am on June 26, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , ,   

    Pension Reform : Investment flexibility added April 2009 

    As a sign of increasing confidence in the expansion of private pension systems in India, the Indian Ministry of Finance recently announced an increase in investment flexibility. This will be effective from 1 April 2009 for non-governmental provident funds, superannuation and gratuity funds.
     
    In common with the practice in many developing countries, there have always been significant restrictions on how these funds could be invested, with a considerable bias toward local investments and toward government securities. This latest revision to the investment pattern gives a welcome expansion to the available universe of investment options and will give more flexibility for investment management within the revised ceilings available for different categories of investment.
     
    The revised investment pattern is as follows:
     
    Instrument
    Revised investment pattern
    (Investment pattern dated January 2005)
    Government securities and mutual funds dedicated to government securities, regulated by the Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
    Up to 55%
    ( Minimum 40%)
    Debit securities (issued by corporate bodies, including banks and public financial institutions); term deposit receipts (issued by scheduled commercial banks) and rupee bonds
    Up to 40%
    ( Minimum 25%)
    Money market instruments, including units of money market mutual funds
    Up to 5%
    (Previously not allowed )
    Equities
    Up to 15%
    (Up to 5% )
    Equity-linked schemes of mutual funds regulated by the SEBI
     
    Up to 10%
     
    Within the above instruments, it should be noted that investment in equities is limited to shares of companies for which derivatives are available on the Bombay Stock Exchange or the National Stock Exchange. However, this does cover more than 250 stocks, which would now be available. Concerning debt securities, these should have a duration of at least three years, and at least 75 percent of investments need to be investment grade. Bonds denominated in Indian currency and issued by multilateral agencies such as the International Finance Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group or the Asian Development Bank must also have a maturity of at least three years. The required duration for term deposit receipts has been changed from a maximum of three years to a minimum of one year. Overall, this is a significant extension of flexibility in creating a range of bond portfolios.
     
    Apart from a specific limit on exposure to mutual funds, which is not to be more than 5 percent of the portfolio at any time, there are some further significant relaxations around trading and the monitoring of the investment pattern. While the investment pattern must be in place at the end of each year, movement is allowed during the year provided that each category does not exceed the investment pattern limit by more than 10 percent. Also, the entire portfolio can be treated as tradable and exposed to active management. Rather than the old limit of 10 percent of the portfolio being tradable, the only limit now is that the overall turnover ratio (that is, the value of securities traded during the year divided by the average value of the portfolio during the year) should not be more than 2 percent.
     
    Funds will now have more flexibility to manage the assets held under pension schemes. Hence, investment decisions will become more complex. The trustees of the pension funds will need to be well informed about the investment options available in the market and also ensure compliance with the prescribed guidelines. Pension governance will become more important.
     
    Around the world, much is written about the techniques and management of portfolios to get best outcomes and match the requirements of participants. The additional flexibility will allow Indian employers opportunities to improve their funds for the benefit of participants. Effort expended on considering how to take advantage of the additional flexibility should be very worthwhile.

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  • zyakaira 9:10 am on June 26, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , ,   

    Strange Unrest in Insurance FDI 

    The new Private Sector Insurance guidelines raising FDI limit to 49% have really scared the Indian partners in these firms. The norms now require the public holding after the inevitable IPO to be a minimum 25% and thus the Indian promoter is likely to end up with 26%. However, in the IPO both partners have to sell equally proportions of shares into the market thus leaving ramping up of FDI intuitively to post IPO capital ‘additions’ as the Indian promoters’ equity is actually capped at 26%
     
    In all, this is a simple enough reform as mandated by the market conditions, capital is relatively expensive in our market as also PPP mandates here that we use USD or EUR (or CHF) from abroad Some quick IPOs hitting the market will raise Capital base of these Insurance companies to 3-4 times its current values by a good 2500-3000 Crores from IPOs and the same amount from FDI later
     
    LIC’s equity market investments of INR 40000 crores are also likely to shore up now, given strengthening market conditions and the boo of INR 300000 Crores is now likely to be well capitalised after the IPO brings in a public stake and govt ownership is reduced by the (yet to be public ) 10-15%

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  • zyakaira 7:04 am on June 26, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , , , , ,   

    ITC Welcome Heritage And Fortune Hotels 

    This is the third attempt in the last 15 years that the ITC Hotels Franchise is launching an expansion plan in either the superluxury or as in these five years, the Budget and the Mid-Tier hotels. Fortune properties previously purchased across pilgrimage towns and other Tier II towns did spark interest but the consolidation is still only half complete and the business model has many doubting thomases. Nevertheless ITC cannot afford to miss the bus and thence 14 new heritage hotels and a few Fortune properties will come up.
     
    One quick word on operational and business model challenges :
     
    ITC has found historically that moving towards mid tier and Budget properties actually does not bring costs down as much ( Investments in land are not that disparate as one might naively believe) while revenues on the heritage properties are seasonal and at the Fortune and heritage properties are much lower with the F&B component falling further in disproportion and discounts in that tier being much more in vogue because of local competition. However, a little bird did tell me once that properties named Fortune in Gurgaon command up to $400 per night for rooms.
     
    Revenues at this tier are unlikely to exceed $65 per average night for boarding and less than 20% in F&B with Capacity utilization unlikely to cross 65% even at tourist growth rates exceeding 10% per annum

    Posted via email from The investment blog on Post

     
  • zyakaira 6:57 am on June 26, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , , , , ,   

    ITC Welcome Heritage And Fortune Hotels 

    This is the third attempt in the last 15 years that the ITC Hotels Franchise is launching an expansion plan in either the superluxury or as in these five years, the Budget and the Mid-Tier hotels. Fortune properties previously purchased across pilgrimage towns and other Tier II towns did spark interest but the consolidation is still only half complete and the business model has many doubting thomases. Nevertheless ITC cannot afford to miss the bus and thence 14 new heritage hotels and a few Fortune properties will come up.
     
    One quick word on operational and business model challenges :
     
    ITC has found historically that moving towards mid tier and Budget properties actually does not bring costs down as much ( Investments in land are not that disparate as one might naively believe) while revenues on the heritage properties are seasonal and at the Fortune and heritage properties are much lower with the F&B component falling further in disproportion and discounts in that tier being much more in vogue because of local competition. However, a little bird did tell me once that properties named Fortune in Gurgaon command up to $400 per night for rooms.
     
    Revenues at this tier are unlikely to exceed $65 per average night for boarding and less than 20% in F&B with Capacity utilization unlikely to cross 65% even at tourist growth rates exceeding 10% per annum

    Posted via email from The investment blog on Post

     
  • zyakaira 8:07 pm on June 25, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , , , , ,   

    Aviation blues, will UDF increase in a year? more fare increases? 

    Air traffic down seventh month in a row; airport developers hit

    While domestic passenger numbers declined 15.3% y-o-y, international passenger traffic, which lately saw some growth, was virtually flat for the first time in January, adding to the airport developers’ woes

    Click here to view full story

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  • zyakaira 7:20 pm on June 25, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , , , , ,   

    A retail comeback story | Mysore Road the new Whitefields « An investment Blog 

    A retail comeback story | Mysore Road the new Whitefields Mumbai: Consumers have started trickling back to malls and department stores as the economy is stabilizing, say many large retailers, who expect sales to further improve in the months ahead. This sentiment is spread across segments, from value retailers such as Vishal Retail to specialized chains such as The MobileStore, which sells cellphones and accessories and is part of the conglomerate Essar Group, to Reliance Retail, part of the Reliance-Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group. Pantaloon Retail (India) Ltd, the country’s largest retailer by revenue, witnessed around 8% growth in same store sales for the month of May compared with the same period last year. In April, the company said it had an increase of 7% and 5% in March. Vishal Retail, which shut two apparel manufacturing units and two stores during the downturn, is now seeing sales picking up again. Chief executive officer (CEO) Ambeek Khemka said, “Sales are picking up gradually and the company has seen a surge of around 20% overall sales in the last three months.” A Reliance Retail official, who did not want to be identified because of company policy, said, “From April, definitely, the consumer sentiment is positive and we have witnessed an increase in sales by around 15% in the last two months and June is looking better than May.” Rajeev Agarwal, CEO of The MobileStore, said, “In the last three months the sales of the company have increased by around 20% which definitely indicates a positive sentiment.” The upturn comes at a time when economists around the world have been speaking of so-called “green shoots” of recovery after an unprecedented global slowdown sharply cut consumer spending. Falling stock indices, declining housing prices, rising inflation and the global economic crisis had led to Indian consumer confidence declining by 26.5 points between January 2008 and March 2009, according to a May report titled Winning Indian Consumers In The Downturn from the Boston Consulting Group. Analysts, too, feel the worst is over for retailers and the sector, whose market size has been estimated at about $25 billion (Rs1.2 trillion), is likely to witness slow and steady growth. During the period, most retailers, among them Spencer Retail Ltd, Aditya Birla Retail Ltd, Future Group, Reliance Retail Ltd and The MobileStore, went slow on expansion, closed stores that were no longer viable, and regularly pitched promotional offers and deep discounts to counter the decline in discretionary spending. In addition, some retailers laid off employees, renegotiated rental agreements signed in a healthier financial climate, and consolidated operations by merging teams, warehouses and back offices. The MobileStore, for example, shut down at least 70 stores, while opening an equal number of new ones after November. Reliance Retail added 100 stores and shut down at least 20. However, some retailers such as Subhiksha, Mumbai-based Foodland Fresh, and Indiabull’s Retail Service Ltd were the worst hit. While Foodland Fresh and Indiabulls Retail Services Ltd have only three and four stores operational, respectively. Subhiksha had to shut down operations due to lack of funding. However, things are looking better for the industry as a whole. Kishore Biyani, founder and CEO of Future Group, said, “We are seeing positive sentiments in consumer behaviour due to the sense of security in terms of job and stable government. With asset prices increasing people have started to feel more secured. Moreover consumption in the country is not going to come down and will continue to grow.” A New Delhi-based analyst with a domestic brokerage said in the last three months the consumer sentiment is gradually improving, and that almost all retailers are seeing a rise in sales across categories. “Retailers may once again see a double digit growth in the next few months if the consumer sentiment continues to grow at the present level,” he said. He declined to be identified because he is not allowed to speak to the media. via Retail glimmer of hope zyakaira notes: In other related news, in Bangalore – Mysore Bangalore Infra Corridor is being used effectively by the traffic, while the paid toll roads from and to the NICE road have picked up some traffic though they are not there yet. Whitefields projects coming up include a Prestige Seconds’ mall. Prestige forum in Koramanagala remains the stellar success and malls in Bangalore like Forum and even the new Oasis / Lifestyle Mall show continued traction throughout the week. We are backing the property at Innovative Film City which is available cheap at rents of $4 psft and less and retains 50000 footfalls in a week without the congestion and with a complete leisure and holidaying destination story around it The Mysore-Bangalore Corridor is likely to see a larger support esp. along the SH-17 which is a regular attraction for Bangaloreans. And personally, someone like Kishor Biyani should not be in this Industry at all and there should be more options for teams like Bharti and Walmart to provide choice to consumers rather than start a shackled business under Business to Business pretext because of FDI restrictions

    Posted via web from social networking and new markets

     
  • zyakaira 8:08 am on June 24, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: advantages.us, Budget, , , , , , , , , ,   

    New advantages.us family additions 

    The lighter web site from http://advantages.us is now instantly available on your mobile. This is thanks to the amazing instant mobilizer with the new dotMobi sites. Do try it out and let us know. Also, my Markets and Branding blog is similarly co-hosted by instantmobilizer at zyaada.mobi
     
    http://twitterone.com remains ‘Social Networking and New markets at http://twitterone.com. There ain’t a better place than dotcom..
     
    Bookmark http://newadvantages.mobi and http://socialone.mobi on your mobile browser and iphones
     
    Amit Mittal
    On the web Advantage ‘zyaada’ http://advantages.us/zya

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  • zyakaira 7:28 am on June 24, 2009 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Budget, , , , , , , , , Stock Markets,   

    Indian Market Tweets – June 24, 2009 

    Waiting for a test drive. I did like the Honda Civic, this one is the Optra Magnum _TYY4 ( la unlisted mncs of asia’s largest stock market)less than 20 seconds ago from TweetDeck
     
    These Wealth Management reports conned poor Sunil Mittal into starting a new Mutual fund. The team is probly better than Lotus & Mirae _TYY41 minute ago from TweetDeck
     
    TCS & Infy leaving obvious hints about better results! _TYY4 (la lost techs of offshoring, printed, bound and hand delivered by GenXvoters)4 minutes ago from TweetDeck
     
    Global banks report reiterates our merit lists! check check check! _TYY48 minutes ago from TweetDeck
     
    The Bharathi Shipyard offer for Great Oddshore was to be upgraded to Rs 403. Any time now.. _TYY49 minutes ago from TweetDeck
     
    NDTV & UTVi continue to be on the job on the Indian Budget. I think TV 18 will be losing a lot of traction this year, unless revamped _TYY4
     
    - 12:50 by my watch

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