OIL India Ltd – The India Energy Demand solution
India’s energy situation in short is that it needs four times more oil than it produces, and thus domestic production has been a focus in India’s Infrastructure story since 2005
India’s energy situation in short is that it needs four times more oil than it produces, and thus domestic production has been a focus in India’s Infrastructure story since 2005
As per current Ministry of Steel meetings, the NMDC stake sale is likely to be of 15% in which case it could easily be over Rs 2000 crores ($400m) at CMP of 375 ( $7.50) As also the ones for Adani Power, Godrej, Indiabulls Power..i think it can happen given that each will have $40-50 million from retail investors, but it requires disciplined Institutional Investors who believe the India story..anyway, this kind of volume has not been done ever before in the same year, but then this is the era of Infrastructure.
Foreign portfolio investors have poured in $8.7 billion since April, while speculation is already rife for PSU divestment in Coal India and National Hydro Electric Corp in the Power sector, each easily worth a $1 b for 15-20% stake. Also SBI Infrastructure fund with Macquarie has raised its bucket size to 1.5 billion adding another $500m.
A dani Power is raising $600m. NHPC is going first planning to issue more than 70 crore shares of Rs 10 par value for offer including a existing 5% stake unlikely to be issued at par(despite reports) to net 2500 crores for 15% of the company capital NHPC also plans to invest Rs 28,000 crore by 2012 to position itself as over 10,000 MW utility. At present, its generation capacity stands at 5,200 MW. The proceeds from the IPO would partly be utilised to finance the expansions.
Indiabulls Power seems to have issued earlier capital at a premium and a current QIP at 25% of the Original at Par to raise a further 200 Cr ( $40m) Thus it is curently sitting on unutilised capital of 2200 crores ($440m). It has two Power plants planned in Maharashtra with the first in Nasik of 1335MW capacity (shld cost between (5500 cr to 7000 cr OR $1.1-1.4 billion) It is unlikely to try for any considerable premium if it comes first.
Adani Power is coming out with the next Public Issue that will be closely watched in two weeks and with 30 crore shares on offer, it could easily mop up 3000 Crores for its 13.5% post IPO stake on offer. For a total projects of 6600 MW in Mundra, Dahej and Tiroda, the company estimates a cost of Rs 29000 Crores or $ 5.8 b which is a little under Reliance’s estimate of $1m per MW. The promoters are doing a lot of jugglery between the projects as they also own Mundra port et al but they do have preliminary PPA arrangements with Haryana ( Mundra Ph IV) , MP (Tiroda) and Mundra Port, Gujarat, Maharashtra (Mundra, Dahej). these are big ticket issues and one mis-step in the market could easily derail the infrastructure engine for 12-18 months
Adani Power has done some private placements in Mar and even in June and most are at par, with some at a premium of Rs 90, which seems to make for a really large shareholder base and may dilute premium for others? Does that mean they anticipate a weak response to the market? Probably, it is just the cost of long term venture equity. Interestingly out of the @180 million shares post issue, 1450 million would have no lock up or lock in ( lock up) period of less than one year. For the Mndra project, Phase I&II was financed by a consortium of Public Sector Banks borught together by ICICI Bank for Rs 3200 Crores ( $640 m)
[Tags India, India Infrastructure, Power, Indian Economy, Mundra, Ports, SEZ, Financial Markets, Reliance ADA]
At its RNRL and Reliance Capital AGMs today, Anil Ambani announced new Capital raising plans for its Insurance and Infrastructure companies including the Western Freeway Sealink, utilizing the current buoyancy in the markets to “unlock value” Thus efforts continue to overcome challenges to RNRL from the new legal action by customers and Government for actioning RIL PSC (Production Share Contracts)
Reliance ADA Grp made plans public for spending Rs 10000 Crores ($2b) to add 20MT pa capacity in Cement making apart from reiterating its earlier plans for Insurance ( That would be a large 1000 cr, $200m issue before QIP). Reliance also announced that it would be diversifying into Investment Banking later this year. They have recently floated a Domestic Investor focussed Private Equity fund and will obviously learn from previous aborted ventures of Rel Capital when it was more a shared concern of the two brothers as also a direct support line for Grand Ambani plans
In related news, Yes Bank has also organized a $250 m QIP while, IDFC has added 40K ESOPs to its capital and IFCI has acquired Rs 300 cr ( $60m of MCX from the software team at FTIL) The iron is hot, and ADA has always been the more financially literate and savvy teams.
[Tags India, India Infrastructure, IPOs, Infrastructure, Indian Economy, Reliance ADA, Anil Ambani]
The NMDC Divestment should proceed smoothly for a 5% stake if approved. Other DRHPs filed include Godrej Properties and Indiabulls Power which may do well despite not very strong management and doubtful assets ( Godrej has most of its land bank in JVs with partners , while Indiabulls Poer is moving into an unrelated field after a not so successful RE and NBFC run) for NMDC if a 5% divestment comes through it would raise around 750 crores at current market prices which already seem to be around their average 6 months value in anticipation and seem like a good starting point for the Divestment to roll.
NMDC is India’s single largest iron ore producer and exporter, presently producing about 30 million tons of iron ore from 3 fully mechanized mines viz., Bailadila Deposit-14/11C, Bailadila Deposit-5, 10/11A (Chhattisgarh State) and Donimalai Iron Ore Mines (Karnataka State) which are awarded ISO 9001-2000 certification.
NMDC has the only mechanized diamond mine in the country with a capacity of 1.00 lakh carats / annum at Panna ( Madhya Pradesh State ). The organization is under the charge of Ministry of Steel, which will continue after the divestment.
As of 31st March 2009, we had 5650 employees producing a profit of INR 6500 Crores ( $1.33 billion). It was categorized as a Navratna (Crown Jewel) in Nov 2008 in preparation for its public issue. The primary Bailadila Ore deposits are supplied to Essar, Ispat Industries and others replacing sponge iron because of their beneficial metallurgy. Others like Kudremukh and Khetri were handed over to third parties to run as independent legal entities ( public or private) the management links its fortune with that of the strong demand led growth of the Steel Industry.
The stock has recently moved from 300 to 375 on news of divestment and has also signed steel companies in Japan and Korea at a long term rate. they signed a JV with Rio Tinto in Aug 2008 to expand their exploration outside India and with South African company Kopana ke Matla for exploration in Africa/SA. The equity base of the company is Rs 396 crores ( $80 million) from a three fold bonus in FY09. NMDC also plans to own 51% of Kudremukh Iron Ore ( KIOCL) for INR 315 crores ( $63 million). NMDC paid a dividend of RS 1200 crores in FY09 ( $240 million)
NMDC is also working with Adani Power, Monnet Ispat and others to plan development of its coal fields. Interestingly, it has also announced plans for a downstream steel plant in Karnataka (10MT) and another in Chhattisgarh (3MT) according to the company MD Rana Som. t present, per capita consumption of steel in the country is 47-50 kg as against the global average of 180 kg. India exported 90 million tonnes of iron ore in 2005-06 out of which 68.5 million tonnes went to China and that exports account for about 60% of Indias iron ore production. (steelguru.com)
[Tags India, India Infrastructure, IPOs, Infrastructure, Indian Economy]
[Categories India Infrastructure]
ADA Reliance (BIG entertainment) has today announced details of its venture with Dreamworks (Steven Spielberg) planning a 40% stake in the final entity capitalised at approx $830 million ($1b at USD rate of Rs. 40) with Disney holding another 15%. The Company holds a target of producing 5-6 films a year. BIG already has agreements with Nicholas Cage’s Saturn, Jim Carrey’s JC23, George Clooney’s Smokehouse, Chris Columbus’s 1492 Pictures, Tom Hank’s Playtone and Brad Pitt’s Plan B among others
The other 4 public units for Divestment will be identified by the designated Deptt of Divestment. The budgeted 1854 Crores ($371 million) will flow from the Offers of OIL and NHPC. Ashok also confirmed that the Government has decided to retain median Cenvat rate at 8 per cent and the service tax rate at 10 per cent. A detailed budget anaysis is available from us The stimulus packages last fiscal brought the Excise collection down to $21.6 billion from a targeted $27.8 billion. Riding on expected increase in economic growth, the Budget 2009-10 has also projected a Rs 10,000-crore increase in surcharge on corporate tax. In 2009-10, the Government expects to collect surcharge (corporation tax) of Rs 26,090 crore compared with Rs 16,001 crore in the previous year, reports The Hindu Business Line. (http://moneycontrol.com)
OIL is engaged in the exploration, production and development of oil and natural gas. In addition, the company is engaged in the transportation of crude oil and production of LPG. It owns and operates 13 drilling rigs and 14 work-over rigs. The company’s operations are spread across India, Iran, Libya, Gabon, Sudan, Yemen and Nigeria. It is a wholly owned Indian government enterprise and holds 26% equity in Numaligarh Refinery Ltd. OIL has a capital base of Rs 214 crore and claims a Return on Networth of 23% with a EPS of Rs 101 ( $2+) which is extremely encouraging on a net worth of Rs 10000 Crores. Its last reported profit (03/09) was Rs 2161 Crores ($432 million)
National Hydroelectric Power Corporation is one of the largest organisation for hydro-power development in India having constructed 13 hydro-power projects in India and abroad with a total installed capacity of 3694.35 MW (Including the projects under joint venture). With an asset value of Rs. 2,00,000 million NHPC has planned to add 2480 MW of power during Xth plan and 6297 MW of power during XIth plan. NHPC’s capabilities include the complete spectrum of hydropower development from concept to commissioning.
NHPC plans to issue 10% new shares and 5% would be divested by the Government. The issue size is speculated to be Rs 2500 Crores ($500 million) NHPC plans to spend Rs 28,000 crore to more than double generating capacity by 2012. Of this, Rs 11,000 crore would have come from its own cash and the IPO and Rs 17,000 crore from borrowings.
The company will offer 168 crore shares, consisting of 112 crore new shares and 55.91 crore shares owned by the Indian government, according to the offer document submitted to the Sebi. Hydro Power has higher efficiency of 90% compared to Coal and Gas (35-50%) but the availability of water resources is scarce because of the natural changes in reservoirs from uneven rains
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The issue size is 167 crore shares at a price band of Rs 30 -36 for an issue size of Rs 6000 crore at the upper end and likely to receive a similar response as Adani. Though realisations for NHPC older plants are lower and water supply a challenge due to earlier monsoons. 4000 out of 6000 crores will go to existing plants and 2000 crores for new plants. NHPC has also kept a greenshoe option of 15%
Adani Power is part of the $4.5 billion Adani Group setting up Thermal Power Plants such as the one at Tiroda and Mundra. They plan to put into place Power Capacity of 6000 MW by 2012 for which they have tied loans worth Rs. 23000 Crores Thus they have a planned issue in the next 6 weeks which would bring in the rest of the equity for the new Power projects. They are currently going live with a Transmission project in ?Tiroda? They seem to be in the right locations in Tiroda and Mundra which has no problems with the pricing or the supply agreements. They are also in contract for the assured ROI of 16% for Power projects. Competitors like GMR Infra are not in the race for resources despite having more than 9 Power projects on their roster as of 2007 itself. (GMR was working with ROI contracts of 12%)
As a sign of increasing confidence in the expansion of private pension systems in India, the Indian Ministry of Finance recently announced an increase in investment flexibility. This will be effective from 1 April 2009 for non-governmental provident funds, superannuation and gratuity funds.
In common with the practice in many developing countries, there have always been significant restrictions on how these funds could be invested, with a considerable bias toward local investments and toward government securities. This latest revision to the investment pattern gives a welcome expansion to the available universe of investment options and will give more flexibility for investment management within the revised ceilings available for different categories of investment.
The revised investment pattern is as follows:
Instrument
Revised investment pattern
(Investment pattern dated January 2005)
Government securities and mutual funds dedicated to government securities, regulated by the Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
Up to 55%
( Minimum 40%)
Debit securities (issued by corporate bodies, including banks and public financial institutions); term deposit receipts (issued by scheduled commercial banks) and rupee bonds
Up to 40%
( Minimum 25%)
Money market instruments, including units of money market mutual funds
Up to 5%
(Previously not allowed )
Equities
Up to 15%
(Up to 5% )
Equity-linked schemes of mutual funds regulated by the SEBI
Up to 10%
Within the above instruments, it should be noted that investment in equities is limited to shares of companies for which derivatives are available on the Bombay Stock Exchange or the National Stock Exchange. However, this does cover more than 250 stocks, which would now be available. Concerning debt securities, these should have a duration of at least three years, and at least 75 percent of investments need to be investment grade. Bonds denominated in Indian currency and issued by multilateral agencies such as the International Finance Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group or the Asian Development Bank must also have a maturity of at least three years. The required duration for term deposit receipts has been changed from a maximum of three years to a minimum of one year. Overall, this is a significant extension of flexibility in creating a range of bond portfolios.
Apart from a specific limit on exposure to mutual funds, which is not to be more than 5 percent of the portfolio at any time, there are some further significant relaxations around trading and the monitoring of the investment pattern. While the investment pattern must be in place at the end of each year, movement is allowed during the year provided that each category does not exceed the investment pattern limit by more than 10 percent. Also, the entire portfolio can be treated as tradable and exposed to active management. Rather than the old limit of 10 percent of the portfolio being tradable, the only limit now is that the overall turnover ratio (that is, the value of securities traded during the year divided by the average value of the portfolio during the year) should not be more than 2 percent.
Funds will now have more flexibility to manage the assets held under pension schemes. Hence, investment decisions will become more complex. The trustees of the pension funds will need to be well informed about the investment options available in the market and also ensure compliance with the prescribed guidelines. Pension governance will become more important.
Around the world, much is written about the techniques and management of portfolios to get best outcomes and match the requirements of participants. The additional flexibility will allow Indian employers opportunities to improve their funds for the benefit of participants. Effort expended on considering how to take advantage of the additional flexibility should be very worthwhile.